Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-06 0.003953 0.004158 0.004369 0.004601 0.004850 0.005110 0.005402
2025-07-13 0.003600 0.003904 0.004229 0.004604 0.005026 0.005489 0.006036
2025-07-20 0.003422 0.003789 0.004193 0.004674 0.005234 0.005870 0.006653
2025-07-27 0.003222 0.003624 0.004077 0.004629 0.005289 0.006060 0.007039
2025-08-03 0.003065 0.003494 0.003986 0.004597 0.005346 0.006242 0.007413
2025-08-10 0.002929 0.003377 0.003899 0.004561 0.005387 0.006398 0.007754
2025-08-17 0.002868 0.003344 0.003909 0.004637 0.005565 0.006728 0.008329
2025-08-24 0.002769 0.003260 0.003849 0.004620 0.005620 0.006898 0.008700
2025-08-31 0.002673 0.003173 0.003781 0.004588 0.005651 0.007035 0.009028
2025-09-07 0.002573 0.003077 0.003696 0.004528 0.005639 0.007111 0.009272
2025-09-14 0.002479 0.002985 0.003612 0.004464 0.005618 0.007169 0.009491
2025-09-21 0.002423 0.002938 0.003584 0.004472 0.005692 0.007359 0.009907
2025-09-28 0.002308 0.002813 0.003450 0.004334 0.005561 0.007259 0.009891
2025-10-05 0.002257 0.002769 0.003422 0.004338 0.005627 0.007440 0.010308
2025-10-12 0.002233 0.002760 0.003439 0.004403 0.005780 0.007751 0.010943
2025-10-19 0.002171 0.002697 0.003381 0.004361 0.005777 0.007833 0.011220
2025-10-26 0.002117 0.002644 0.003334 0.004332 0.005791 0.007937 0.011537
2025-11-02 0.002064 0.002591 0.003285 0.004298 0.005795 0.008027 0.011834
2025-11-09 0.002050 0.002590 0.003309 0.004369 0.005956 0.008364 0.012567
2025-11-16 0.002008 0.002549 0.003274 0.004353 0.005986 0.008496 0.012955
2025-11-23 0.001964 0.002503 0.003232 0.004324 0.005993 0.008591 0.013283
2025-11-30 0.001912 0.002447 0.003173 0.004268 0.005957 0.008613 0.013481
2025-12-07 0.001862 0.002392 0.003113 0.004209 0.005913 0.008621 0.013651